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Society · Guess the stat

How well do you know how pollsters reach people?

Guess the real numbers behind how surveys reach the public, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

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A standard Gallup poll of 1,000 U.S. adults typically has about what margin of error?

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about 6%

By 2018, what share of people contacted actually completed a typical U.S. telephone survey?

Response rates fell from about 7% in 2017 to 6% in 2018, continuing a long decline in telephone survey participation.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

about 6% drop

A 2010 study of 100,000 online surveys found response rates dropped by about how much once a survey reached 20 questions?

The same study found only about a 3% drop at 10 questions, and the drop-off actually slowed down for longer surveys.

Source: Wikipedia (Survey methodology) (2010) en.wikipedia.org

about 60,000 households

The U.S. Current Population Survey, the source of the monthly unemployment rate, samples about how many households?

The Census Bureau conducts this survey monthly, and its sample design was most recently redesigned in 2014.

Source: Wikipedia (Current Population Survey) (2014) en.wikipedia.org

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How does PollIngchannel.com work?

Each question asks you to guess a real number about the channels pollsters use to reach people — phone, online and in person. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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